
San Antonio Spurs – With the rest of the NBA looking at the Lakers to easily capture the Western Conference title, the Spurs have built a team that could easily handle LA. The Spurs had a dissappointing season in 2008-09 because they were slowed down last year due to injuries to their key players like Tim Duncan (knees) and Manu Ginobili (ankle). With both of them expected to make a full comeback and the additions of Richard Jefferson, DeJuan Blair, Antonio McDyess and Theo Ratliff the Spurs have their sights set on yet another championship. Along with those additions, they really didn’t lose out on any impact players, just veterans in Bruce Bowen, Kurt Thomas and Frabricio Oberto. The projected lineup will feature Tony Parker at the point, Ginobili at shooting guard, Jefferson at small forward, McDyess at power forward and Duncan down below. They certainly have the defense to be a good team and with the addition of Jefferson they become a strong offensive threat as well. Also, the largest steal of the draft has seemed to be Blair as he was able to fall on the lap of the Spurs early in the second round. He was completely dominant in the summer league and had averages of 14.7 points and 8.2 rebounds per game in the preseason while averaging 18.0 minutes. This is a very strong team that is built almost the same as the Celtics with a lot of veteran leadership and young talent. I look for them to finish second in the West with a much closer record to the Lakers than most people think. At the end of the season they will be losing Matt Bonner, Michael Finley, Ginobili, Roger Mason, Ratliff and Jefferson (early termination option) to free agency. So if they want to make a run then this is the year to do it. Season prediction: 60-22, first in the Southwest.
Dallas Mavericks – For some reason Mark Cuban’s team is always on or near the top of the Southwest Division and it shouldn’t be any different this season. The Mavericks bring back Jason Kidd, obtain Shawn Marion for practically nothing, keep Dirk Nowitzki and Josh Howard and bring in Drew Gooden. That is practically going to be their starting lineup as well with Kidd at the point, Howard at the two, Marion at small forward, Nowitzki at power forward and Gooden at center. They also still have Jason Terry as their sixth man, and a very good one to say the least. They have lost Brandon Bass, Devean George and Greg Buckner, but even those losses are not very important. The Mavericks always seem to have a pretty good team and with Kidd and Nowitzki back together they should easily make it to the playoffs, but how far can they go? Only Dallas can answer that question. The only problems for their team are that the West is still very good and the Spurs can beat the Mavericks, at least on paper; oh and Kidd is getting old. After the season they have a lot of questions looming with contracts needed for Gooden, J.J. Barea (team option), Howard (team option), Kris Humphries (player option), Nowitzki (early termination option), Quinton Ross (player option) and Tim Thomas. Season prediction: 53-29, second in the Southwest.
New Orleans Hornets – Any team led by Chris Paul is going to do well, but with last year the Hornets went down seven games in the loss column and that was something to keep an eye on. This offseason they finally traded away Tyson Chandler and received Emeka Okafor in return. Okafor never lived up to his potential while in Charlotte but with Paul running things in New Orleans there might be a change in play for the former UConn star. In the move the Hornets were finally able to get rid of Chandler who has been dealing with injuries over the years and got a pretty good center in return. Also joining Okafor in New Orleans are Bobby Brown, Darren Collison, Ike Diogu, Darius Songaila and Marcus Thornton. The team did lose a key player from last year in Rasual Butler but the team is hoping that Collison and Thornton can fill in for his departure. Their starting lineup looks like Paul at the point, Morris Peterson at shooting guard, Julian Wright at small forward, David West at power forward and Okafor at center. Wright showed flashes of talent last year but has yet to live up to being the 13th overall pick in the 2007 NBA Draft. He should have plenty of opportunity to prove himself this year as he is expected to start. The Hornets still have Peja Stojakovic and James Posey to come off the bench and those two alone should be able to hold down the second unit with Collison controlling the point. After the season the Hornets have Brown, Devin Brown, Diogu, Sean Marks, Songaila (early termination option), and Stojakovic (ETO) as free agents with Hilton Armstrong as a restricted free agent. Season prediction: 52-30, third in the Southwest.
Houston Rockets – The Rockets have easily taken the largest step backwards out of all the teams in the NBA this offseason. With the loss of Yao Ming for the year with a foot injury, the uncertainty of Tracy McGrady’s health and the loss of Ron Artest to the Lakers, Houston has a lot of work to make up. The team’s only promising player seems to be Aaron Brooks who is a resemblance of Gilbert Arenas with his shoot-first mentality. Down low they have to rely on Luis Scola and Chuck Hayes to handle any and all the rebounding because they lack anything that would be considered a center. Their projected lineup looks like Brooks at the point, Shane Battier at the two, newly acquired Trevor Ariza at small forward, Hayes at power forward and Scola at center. It’s a small lineup and is one that will be running a lot. Brooks is quick and his backup Kyle Lowry is not slow either. Rick Adelman’s group will still try and keep their defensive approach as well with both Ariza and Battier being very strong defensive players. Also, if McGrady is able to return this season and is back to his old healthy-self, then there is a chance that they could easily make the playoffs but if he doesn’t then they might be looking towards the lottery. They also added Chase Budinger from the draft but with the losses of Von Wafer and Dikembe Mutombo along with Artest, they really haven’t gained back what they lost and it’s hard to see them improve from their 53-29 record from last year. After the season they lose McGrady, Brent Barry, Brian Cook, Hayes (team option), Ming (early termination option) and Carl Landry (restricted team option) to free agency with Lowry and Scola both restricted free agents as well. The Rockets are a team in transition and it’s difficult to see where they will be going after this season. Season prediction: 40-42, fourth in the Southwest.
Memphis Grizzlies – The Grizzlies had a very busy offseason and also a very controversial one to say the least. They picked up two players that seem to destroy the chemistry of a team and have added them to a very young and promising group of players in O.J. Mayo, Mike Conley Jr., Rudy Gay and Marc Gasol. Those two players of course are Zach Randolph and Allen Iverson. Randolph will come in and take care of the power forward position that has been fairly unstable for Memphis all of last year. Iverson’s role, on the other hand, has not yet been defined. He’s been out all preseason due to a hamstring injury, but when he returns he’s going to want to be a starter and that’s a problem. It’s a problem because Conley should be the starting point guard, Mayo the shooting guard and Gay will stay at small forward. I don’t think the team will move either Conley or Mayo to the bench, especially Conley after how well he performed in the second half of last season. Hopefully Iverson has changed his ways and will want to contribute any way he can, even if that means coming off the bench. In my eyes the starting lineup should be Conley at the point guard position, Mayo at shooting guard, Gay at small forward, Randolph at power forward and Gasol at center. Gasol should split a lot of time this season with the arrival of Hasheem Thabeet from UConn being the second overall pick in the draft. Although Thabeet is not known for his offense, there is no need for it on this team. He adds a strong shot-blocking and rebounding presence, something the Grizzlies could use to complement all the offense they should have. They were also able to get rid of a lot of big contracts this summer with Darko Milicic, Hakim Warrick, Quinton Ross, Greg Buckner and Darius Miles. After the season they will have Iverson, Marcus Williams and Steven Hunter as their free agents, with Gay being restricted. It will definitely be an interesting season in Memphis and it the team builds some chemistry they can be very good. Season prediction: 34-48, fifth in the Southwest.
I think the Spurs run away with this one but overall it is a very difficult division, even the Grizzlies should put up a fight. Up next: Northwest Division.
By Greg Petersen
