
Alas, the time has come. It may be dark when I wake up in the morning and dark when I leave work but spring is in the air. With only a few short weeks until pitchers and catchers report it is never to early to begin thinking about the 2010 Fantasy Baseball draft. While many of you won’t be drafting for at least another month, it’s the guys who start early that separate themselves from the pact come draft day and sail smoothly to victory going wire to wire in first place. To help you prepare we have been working on our ultimate draft kit with rankings, sleepers, busts, articles, and more. Until that is ready, here is a sneak peak at my top 15 players going into the season.
All stats are from the 2009 season
1 – Albert Pujols – 1B – 124/47/135/16/.328 (Runs/HR/RBI/SB/AVG)
Last year I made a strong argument that Hanley Ramirez should be in this spot and ended up putting him atop my rankings citing positional scarcity and the potential for 30 HR’s and 50 SB’s as the main reasons. However, Hanley has taken a step back statistically, at least in home runs and stolen bases while Pujols increased in HR total by ten from 2008 to 2009 and his runs and RBI by 20. While shortstop is still weak and first base is deeper than ever, feel comfortable taking Pujols number one. If there is one thing you want in Fantasy sports it is consistency and Pujols is as close of a guarantee as you can get.
2 – Hanley Ramirez – SS – 101/24/106/27/.342
That being said, Hanley is no slouch. Once again he posted above average statistics in all five categories and won the batting title with a whopping .342 average. It was disappointing to see his HR and SB totals not eclipse the 30/30 mark, but don’t take it as a sign of leveling off. After a slow start to the season Hanley finished as strong as ever and still has the tools to give you 30-40 home runs and anywhere from 30-50 stolen bases. Plus, he is still only 26 so the best is yet to come. Don’t feel too bad about missing out on Pujols, because Hanley is a close 1a in all drafts.
3 – Alex Rodriguez – 3B – 78/30/100/14/.286
Not quite what you would expect from a typical A-Rod season, but you must remember that he missed five weeks in the beginning of the season due to hip surgery. The same surgery that Mike Lowell had four months earlier that hobbled him for the entire season. Being a full year removed from surgery combined with the band box of a stadium he plays half of his games in and I would not be surprised if A-Rod hits 50 home runs this year, if not, it’s safe to say that the floor is around forty. It was a toss up here between Braun and A Rod, but outfield is pretty deep and Rodriguez plays in a much deeper lineup conducive to scoring more runs and driving more in.
4 – Ryan Braun – OF – 113/32/114/20/.320
Braun has been a fantasy star since the day he walked onto the field his rookie season. Outfield is a fairly deep position, but Braun has a step up on everyone. This kid is a five tool player bringing consistency and at only age 26 there is still room for growth. The power has always been there and in 2009 Braun showed everyone that he can hit for average as well when he hit .320 and lead the National League in hits. At this point in the draft you can’t go wrong with any one of the next few players, but if I’m picking fourth, Braun is the guy I have targeted.
5 – Chase Utley – 2B – 112/31/93/23/.282
In 2009 Utley was supposed to miss at least a month of the season after having surgery to repair a torn hip labrum. This had many experts pegging him for the early second round in fantasy drafts, but not this guy. Last year I picked fifth overall and took Utley without hesitation. The dude is a rock at a very weak position and went on to post his fifth straight season with a .900+ ops. This season, I have Utley in the exact same spot. His average dipped to .282 due to a very poor September. One might think he wore down towards the end of the season but he hit five home runs in the World Series so I think he was fine. You can usually count on Utley to post a line of at least 100/30/100/20/.300 making him a fantasy stud at second base.
6 – Matt Kemp – OF – 97/26/101/34/.297
Kemp broke out last year thrusting himself into elite fantasy status. He missed the 30/30 club by only four home runs and at only 25 years old his power should only continue to increase. Considering he spent a large part of the season in the eighth spot in the lineup, his run and RBI totals are even more impressive. Hopefully Joe Torre is finally realizing the talent this kid has because in the middle of the order he could easily hit 35 home runs and steal 35 bases this year. If nothing else you will see his run totals increase by not having to hit in front of the pitcher ever again.
7 – Miguel Cabrera – 1B – 96/34/103/6/.324
Usually in the first round I like to snag guys who will contribute in all five statistical categories, but these next few are good enough that they don’t need to steal bases to make my top ten. Cabrera is another guy who is still entering his prime at only age 26. What he lacks in speed he makes up for with the rest of his game. Not only is he a lock for 100 runs, 30 home runs, and 100 RBI, but he has batted over .320 in four out of the last five years, not a small feat. He has had some problems off the field, but luckily all we care about in fantasy is the numbers, and this kid puts them up.
8 – Prince Fielder – 1B – 103/46/141/2/.300
I was able to get Fielder with the 19th pick in a 12 team roto league last year and boy am I glad I did. After a disappointing 2008 Fielder really came roaring back last year. After only hitting three home runs in April Fielder went on to hit 43 for the next five months. His 141 RBI tied him with Ryan Howard for the league lead. If Fielder was playing any other position he would likely be a top three pick but unfortunately first base is the deepest of them all this year. After a year of speculation, it seems like all that talk about being a vegetarian can finally cease.
9 – Ryan Howard – 1B – 105/45/141/8/.279
No one has ever doubted Howard’s power and run producing numbers, but with only a .266 average over the last three season there is always the question of whether or not the increased HR’s and RBI are worth the hit you take. He is always going to strike out a ton, but last year he proved a lot to me by hitting 23 home runs and batting .305 after the all star break. Many forget that he hit .313 in 2006 while hitting 58 home runs so it’s not like he has always been a dick punch on your average. It would not surprise me in the least to see Howard come in this year and bat .300, if he does, you can consider him a top four fantasy player. If he doesn’t, then I’ll still take the 40 HR’s and 130+ RBI late in the first round.
10 – Mark Teixeira – 1B – 103/39/122/2/.292
As much as I hate to take a Yankee player so early, especially one who left the Red Sox standing at the alter, you can’t ignore the numbers. In that ball park, with that lineup, Teixeira’s numbers could be expected to increase, especially considering his slow start to 2009. Now fully acclimated to New York and the pressure cooker that comes in Yankee Stadium Teixeira stands to be a perennial MVP candidate for the Yanks. He may not hit 50 home runs or steal 30 bases but he is as consistent as they come, especially now that he plays 81 games in the new band box Yankee stadium.
The top ten are pretty much all agreed upon throughout the fantasy world, it is just a matter of being up or down one spot here and there. After this though it starts to get interesting, I shake things up from here on out and if you want to win your league, I suggest you follow suit. Just continue reading to get the rest of my top 15 and those who barely missed the cut.
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